Bellator 258: Archuleta vs. Pettis ‘Preston’s Parlay’

Tonight we have an amazing 12-fight Bellator 258 card. Juan Archuleta (-205) vs. Sergio Pettis (+166) in a bantamweight bout headline the event. Juan Archuleta is (25-2) in his career. Sergio Pettis bolsters a (20-5) career record. Archuleta is on a 2-fight win streak. Pettis is on a 3-fight win streak entering this bout.

Both of these fighters are built to go the distance. Archuleta has a 2″ inch height advantage in this fight. Pettis has had a big layoff not fighting since July 24th of 2020. Archuleta hasn’t fought since September 12th of 2020. I believe that will turn out to be somewhat of an outlier for this fight.

Archuleta finishes his opponent 48% of the time. Opposed to Pettis who holds a relatively low 35% finish rate. That gives us a trend line showing Archuleta is not scared to go for broke. Archuleta’s body of work is impressive and I believe he will prove to be too much for Sergio Pettis tonight.

First Leg of Parlay: Juan Archuleta ML (-205)

For the last leg of the parlay we have Lorenz Larkin (-210) vs. Rafael Carvalho (+170) near the end of the Bellator prelims. Lorenz Larkin is (22-7) in his career. Rafael Carvalho has a (16-5) record. Larkin is currently on a 4-fight win streak in Bellator. Carvalho is on a 2-fight losing streak and has dropped the last 4 out of five fights. Carvalho is dropping down a weight class for this middleweight bout.

Larkin is on a path to rising the ranks under the Bellator promotion. Larkin also has an edge with experience in a career spanning over ten years and four months. That is a year and 6 months longer than Carvalho. Carvalho has an impressive 69.2% finish rate. Opposed to Larkin who has a 50% finish rate inside the octagon.

Both fighters average 2-3 fights a year. However, Larkin has been out since December 29th of 2019 On the flip-side Carvalho cutting weight for this fight makes him vulnerable in this spot.

Second Leg of Parlay: Lorenz Larkin ML (-210)

Combined Odds for Preston’s Parlay = (+119)

All my fight picks are recorded on tapology.com under username ‘fancypreston’.

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