UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya ‘Best Bet + Precise Picks’

The Line: Aleksandar Rakic (-168) vs. Thiago Santos (+142)

On a stacked UFC 259 card this fight immediately stuck out to me. In his last fight Aleksandar Rakic controlled Anthony Smith to a (Unanimous Decision) Victory. Escaping the bout without taking much damage. Possessing a size advantage against Smith; Rakic showed you and I he can grind out a victory against a much more polished striker. Rakic again has a size advantage entering this bout against Thiago Santos.

Thiago Santos has a lot going for him at the age of 37. Everyone eludes to Santos taking Jon Jones the distance but rest assured it is much deeper than scratching the surface. Easy to assume Santos is the superior striker in this fight. However, I expect this contest to be a vintage MMA match, with a mixture of grappling and striking from both participants. Both fighters have great track records but it’s hard to see Santos losing three in a row without going through a war before hand.

Both fighters are nearly even in the striking department landing over 4 significant strikes per minute. Wrestling is neither fighters strong suit but both these men are good at stuffing takedowns and throwing a wrench in their opponents game plan. Thiago Santos averages 7:49 minutes per match. Opposed to Aleksandar Rakic who averages 10:49 minutes per match.

Preston’s Best Bet:

Aleksandar Rakic vs. Thiago Santos OVER 1.5 Rounds (-142)

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