TNF: Buccaneers vs. Bears Preview and Best Bet

The Line: Buccaneers (-190) vs. Bears (+165).

Tonight’s game at Soldier Field is a rematch of two quarterbacks from Super Bowl 52. Tom Brady, quarterback of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Nick Foles, current starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears. Both teams reeling from injuries but the main story will be the running game and both of these tough defenses.

Quarterback Duel

Tom Brady has been sharp since his slow start to the season. Brady’s offensive woes stem from bad decisions leading to interceptions. Something that I expect veteran Tom Brady to get under control this season. However, for this game; Brady will not be immune from the pass rush. Brady will need major help from his running backs and dinged up receiving core. Tom Brady ranks ninth in passing yards this season with 1,122 according to ESPN. Brady is averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Which ranks an awful twenty-first in the NFL. Nick Foles has only been a starter for one game with the Bears. This will be his second start this year against a Buccaneers defense that will be after him all game. A bright spot for Foles is in only playing in two games this season he has four touchdowns and a comeback win under his belt. However, the Bears are in an unprecedented situation. If Foles struggles in the first half I can foresee Mitch Trubsiky entering this game to close out the second half.

Rushing and Receiving Edge

The most underrated running back in the NFL wears a Buccaneers uniform numbered twenty-seven named Ronald Jones II. Jones II is my pick for star of this game. Averaging 4.4 yards a carry according to ESPN. Jones II brings the energy out of the Buccaneers backfield and tonight will have plenty of attempts and targets to put on a show. The Buccaneers receiving core led by Mike Evans is coming into this game a bit undermanned and a tad beat up. The Bears know this and will be looking to capitalize. The Bears running game is one mans job and that man is David Montgomery. Averaging 4.1 yards a carry according to ESPN. Montgomery will be looking for his first rushing touchdown of the season … in week five. The Bears receiving core led by Allen Robinson II will have to steal the show in order for the Bears to win this one. Robinson II is averaging 13.2 yards per catch according to ESPN. I give the running back edge to the Buccaneers. However, the Bears earn my edge in the receiving game tonight.

Better Defense

Buccaneers defense ranks eighth in the NFL in points allowed with 23.0 per game. Opposed to the Bears who are right in front of them in seventh place with 20.3 per game. Bears have stepped it up in coverage this year ranking ninth in passing yards surrendered with 230.3 per game. Opposed to the Buccaneers who rank nineteenth. When it comes to stopping the run the Buccaneers rank second in the NFL! Surrendering a meager 64.3 yards per game. Opposed to the Bears who allow teams to rush for more than 100 yards a game on average. Defense travels a lot more than offense. I give the defensive edge to the Buccaneers in this game.

My pick: Under 44.5 Total Points (-110).

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