UFC on ESPN 16 – Holm vs. Aldana preview and best bets

The Line: Charles Jourdain (-460) vs. Joshua Culibao (+360).

There are numerous ways this fight can end but no matter what angle I view this fight from; Jourdain comes out as a winner. Obviously (-460) is nothing worth wagering on. I did find a very enticing spot for us to cash in on tonight. The Canadian Charles Jourdain bolsters a (10-3) professional record. His last fight was a split-decision loss to the beastly Andre Fili. That decision could of went either way. Jourdain was impressive fighting the bigger and longer opponent in Fili. Jourdain is a heavy hitter. He mixes up his striking and gives opponents a lot of different looks. Also has a solid ground game that is being overlooked. Joshua Culibao bolsters a (8-1) professional record. Once he took the bump up in competition in his last fight he was defeated by a brutal KO/TKO by Jalin Turner. I would raise you that Jourdain is just as good a striker as Turner but with a better grappling skills. Both fighters will be looking to avenge defeats but Jourdain has to many different ways to beat you opposed to Culibao.

My best bet: Double Chance Charles Jourdain win by KO/TKO or Submission (-175). You may have to drop a little extra dough here but it’s well worth it.

The Line: Yorgan De Castro (-210) vs. Carlos Felipe (+176).

What a weird fight! How could I not have a wager on this? Both of these fighters let us down with their performances last time out. I don’t see that happening again. Yorgan De Castro bolsters a (6-1) professional record. Carlos Felipe bolsters a (8-1) professional record. At Heavyweight the weight fluctuates so to speak but both of these fighters have damn near the same reach and weight. The winner of this fight is the one that reserves their energy, weathers the storm, and closes the deal late in the fight. I lean more toward De Castro in those aspects. Felipe was worn out in the last fight and came very close to being finished. I don’t see his cardio being that much better. De Castro stood in their with heavy handed Greg Hardy in his last bout. Although, he didn’t push for the win; De Castro didn’t lose nearly as bad as Felipe did. I predict both of these fighters take two rounds to figure each other out. This could possibly go to decision; being neither fighter has shown real urgency in their careers at this level to finish fights.

My best bet: OVER 1.5 Rounds (-112).

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*All odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook and are subject to change at anytime without prior notice.*

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