UFC on ESPN 12 – Poirier vs Hooker – Picks and Predictions

You handicappers and bettors are about to receive some gems and I hope you appreciate it.

JORDAN GRIFFIN (+105) vs YOUSSEF ZALAL (-135)

We will start off the night with a fight that won’t go the distance. The big hole I spot in Griffin’s game is he tends to run at his opponent with his hands down. Luckily for fantasy owners who took Griffin they don’t have to worry about power shots from Zalal putting Griffin out. I am taking Jordan Griffin to win this bout based on his experience and ability to grind out his opponents. Zalal does not have the track record that would make me feel comfortable taking him in any setting.

KAY HANSEN (-180) vs JINH YU FREY (+145)

This fight is a complete toss up. Frey has been to decision 8 out of her 13 professional fights. Hansen is fighting out of the 10th planet jiu-jitsu camp which makes me know for a fact she will have a ground game. My gut tells me to go with Hansen because she has a little more pop in her strikes and if it goes to the ground she won’t be helpless.

TAKASHI SOTO (-280) vs JASON WITT (+220)

Interesting match up to say the least. Witt is on a 4 fight win streak; 3 of which have gone to decision. Giving the impression cardio won’t be an issue if this fight goes the distance. Sato is a talented fighter but I fear he will over commit to striking and get slumped. Going with Witt to win inside the distance.

LUIS PENA (-250) vs KHAMA WORTHY (+195)

Worthy has great hand speed and power behind it. Recently Pena has been a slow starter who rides out fights to a decision. I don’t feel Worthy will allow that to happen and we will get a finish. I am rolling with Worthy the “Death Star”.

SEAN WOODSON (-550) vs JULIAN EROSA (+375)

Woodson has been quietly making his presence known and now gets a bump in competition against Erosa. It makes sense to take Erosa if you are looking for experience. However; I can’t overlook the fact Erosa is coming off a 3 fight losing streak; 2 of which by KO. Erosa will need to show me he can rebound before I pick him. Rolling with Woodson here.

PHILIPE LINS (-120) vs TANNER BOSER (-110)

Sure to be fireworks in this fight and someone is getting finished. I am leaning more on Lins because he should have a striking advantage against Boser. Lins has stood in there with plenty of heavy handed types so I believe his combinations and pressure will be too much for Boser. Leaning on Lins here.

BRENDAN ALLEN (-310) vs KYLE DAUKAUS (+240)

Not to sound cynical but this looks like the equivalent of the Austin Hubbard vs Max Rohskopf fight last week. What we know about Daukaus is he loves to go for the submission; fancying the brabo choke. I have seen Allen fight for a long time now and if Daukaus plan is to take Allen down and submit him I smell serious disaster for Daukaus. Allen has not even hit his prime and his striking is far beyond Daukaus’s. Allen is also talented on the ground and not an easy person to submit. Taking Allen to win big here!

GIAN VILLANTE (+195) vs MAURICE GREENE (-250)

Villante is going to be the villain in a lot of peoples fantasy lineups one way or another. He has great stand up and has mixed it up against steadfast competition. Downside being Villante is moving up a weight class for this fight against a longer and stronger opponent in Greene. Greene has not had much success as of late but is looking to turn around his misfortune against Villante. Villante tends to tire in the later rounds and being a kick boxer he doesn’t use his kicks enough. He might change that strategy against a longer Greene but also risks getting hammered. In my head I have been back in forth about the outcome of this fight and this is what I have mustered up. If it goes the distance Villante wins on points but if it doesn’t that is because Greene finished him inside the distance. Rolling with Greene on this one.

MIKE PERRY (-325) vs MICKEY GALL (+250)

People put too much stock in the interviews leading up to fight day and try to make that a basis for their picks. I don’t know how that would have any bearing on a fight inside the octagon. Gall has simply never fought the caliber of fighter Perry is or anybody as strong as Perry. Too much stacked against Gall for me to like his chances. My gut tells me roll with Perry and ignore the noise.

DUSTIN POIRIER (-230) vs DAN HOOKER (+180)

Both Poirier and Hooker have knockout power, well rounded striking, and great endurance. So what separates these two? Exactly what you weren’t thinking or maybe you were; the ground game. People have eluded to Poirier not being a good wrestler because of the loss to Khabib but that was Khabib, and this is Hooker. Poirier has the advantage here when it comes to closing the distance. Poirier wont have to worry about going to the ground because Hooker doesn’t tend to make his livelihood there. Expect a slow start for both guys and possibly Hooker wins the first round but after that second round expect fireworks if we haven’t gotten them by then. Poirier is good about figuring out his opponent and exploiting their weaknesses. This has all the makings of a special fight. Riding with Poirier on this one!

*Odds courtesy of Bovada and are subject to change.*

Featured image credit: By UFC – UFC Official Twitter, Fair use, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=64324696

Categories MMATags

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this:
search previous next tag category expand menu location phone mail time cart zoom edit close